Ourense CF 3-1 Merida AD — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Spain - Primera Federación, 14 Feb 2026

Ourense CF LWLLL→
3 - 1 HT 2 - 0
Merida AD WDDWW→
📅14/02/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Federación – 2025/2026

Ourense CF vs Merida AD Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 18:29
Match Result
Home
41%
2.2
Draw
33%
2.89
Away
26%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
64%
1.52
Over
36%
2.37
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.17
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.04
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
15%
5.75
6+
2%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
2%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Ourense CF v Merida AD — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ourense CF The Market 45%
Signal
AWAY Merida AD The Market 31%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.30 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.02
0.98 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.18
Strong Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 3

Ourense CF vs Merida AD Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ourense CF
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Merida AD
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.12.2025 Merida AD Merida AD 3-2 HT 1-1 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS3

Ourense CF 3-1 Merida AD — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ourense CF
3 - 1
AWAY Merida AD
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Ourense CF vs Merida AD
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ourense CF saw off Merida AD 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Ourense CF as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: Merida AD saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 9-14.

Ourense CF vs Merida AD Result & Final Score

Ourense CF 3 - 1 Merida AD in the Spain - Primera Federación on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ourense CF vs Merida AD Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ourense CF win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 41%, draw 33%, Merida AD 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ourense CF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ourense CF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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