Gimnasia Y Tiro 2-1 Colegiales — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
13%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.75
No
69%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
53%
+4.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
13%
Away Win
18%
-4.7pp
31%
BTTS Yes
32%
-0.8pp
69%
BTTS No
68%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Colegiales EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
0.84/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.25
-37% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Colegiales
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.09.2025 Colegiales Colegiales 2-0 HT 2-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro ARJPBN
18.05.2025 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 4-0 HT 1-0 Colegiales Colegiales ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Colegiales
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Y Tiro nicked a narrow win over Colegiales 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gimnasia Y Tiro as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (69%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gimnasia Y Tiro and 1.00 for Colegiales.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Colegiales?

Gimnasia Y Tiro 2-1 Colegiales in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Colegiales?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Y Tiro win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Y Tiro 58%, draw 29%, Colegiales 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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