Deportivo Moron 1-1 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
34%
2.7
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.81
No
63%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.5pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.0pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-2.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
32%
+5.5pp
63%
BTTS No
68%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
1.10/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.75
-8% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +47%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Moron
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
05.08.2025 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
30.03.2025 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
07.07.2024 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
18.02.2024 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-4 HT 0-2 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
04.09.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 3-2 HT 1-2 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
24.04.2023 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moron vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Moron and Defensores De Belgrano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Moron at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Moron had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Moron and 1.00 for Defensores De Belgrano.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Deportivo Moron 1-1 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Moron win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 46%, draw 33%, Defensores De Belgrano 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Moron), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Moron) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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