Deportivo Moron 1-0 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
Over 2.5
27%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
27%
2.53
No
73%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.8pp
33%
Draw
34%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.3pp
27%
BTTS Yes
36%
-8.2pp
73%
BTTS No
64%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
1.10/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.71
-1% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +54%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Moron
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
07.07.2024 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
18.02.2024 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-4 HT 0-2 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
04.09.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 3-2 HT 1-2 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
24.04.2023 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
26.02.2022 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
23.10.2021 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 3-0 HT 3-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moron vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Moron nicked a narrow win over Defensores De Belgrano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Deportivo Moron made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (73%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Moron had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Moron and 1.17 for Defensores De Belgrano.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Deportivo Moron 1-0 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Moron win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 35%, draw 33%, Defensores De Belgrano 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Moron), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Moron) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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