Alvarado vs Patronato Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alvarado v Patronato — Team-Based Signals
Alvarado vs Patronato Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Patronato
ARJPBN
6-0
HT 4-0
Alvarado
ARJPBN
Alvarado saw off Patronato 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Alvarado made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alvarado had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Alvarado and 1.75 for Patronato.
What was the final score of Alvarado vs Patronato?
Alvarado 3-1 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alvarado vs Patronato?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alvarado win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 40%, draw 27%, Patronato 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alvarado) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.