Patronato vs Alvarado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Patronato v Alvarado — Team-Based Signals
Patronato vs Alvarado Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Patronato
ARJPBN
6-0
HT 4-0
Alvarado
ARJPBN
Alvarado saw off Patronato 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Patronato at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alvarado led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Patronato and 1.33 for Alvarado.
What was the final score of Patronato vs Alvarado?
Patronato 1-3 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Patronato vs Alvarado?
Before kick-off our model rated a Patronato win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Patronato 52%, draw 30%, Alvarado 18%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.