Gimnasia Mendoza 2-0 Defensores Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.53
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.3pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.5pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -15%
1.79/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.39
+31% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Defensores Unidos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
10.03.2024 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 3-1 HT 0-1 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
10.06.2023 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
05.02.2023 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-1 HT 1-0 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensores Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza beat Defensores Unidos 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gimnasia Mendoza as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Defensores Unidos led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 1.67 for Defensores Unidos.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensores Unidos?

Gimnasia Mendoza 2-0 Defensores Unidos in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensores Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 52%, draw 29%, Defensores Unidos 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
28 Jul 2024
01:10 Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Rafaela Analysis →
21:00 All Boys vs Gimnasia Jujuy Analysis →
21:00 Guillermo Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste Analysis →
21:30 Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atletico Atlanta Analysis →
22:00 Agropecuario Argentino vs Deportivo Maipu Analysis →
22:00 Patronato vs Alvarado Analysis →