Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 Atletico Atlanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
35%
2.7
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.26
Over 2.5
32%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.75
No
59%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.7pp
35%
Draw
33%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
76%
-8.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
24%
+7.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
32%
+8.5pp
59%
BTTS No
68%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -19%
0.81/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.26
-30% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
313 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico Atlanta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 15
7 Corners 3
12.03.2024 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atletico Atlanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Y Tiro squeezed past Atletico Atlanta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 35% / 29% — and on the day Gimnasia Y Tiro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atletico Atlanta?

Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 Atletico Atlanta in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atletico Atlanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Y Tiro win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Y Tiro 36%, draw 35%, Atletico Atlanta 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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