Guillermo Brown 3-1 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.51
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.1pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.7pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.8pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 42%
-11% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -16%
0.66/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.27
-33% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
260 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guillermo Brown
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2024 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-2 HT 1-1 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
17.05.2022 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 HT 1-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
25.09.2021 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-0 HT 0-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
16.05.2021 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 3-1 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
17.07.2015 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 HT 1-1 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
07.03.2015 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 2-2 HT 1-1 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Guillermo Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guillermo Brown got the better of Ferro Carril Oeste 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 35%) promised a tight game; Guillermo Brown found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guillermo Brown had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guillermo Brown and 1.00 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of Guillermo Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Guillermo Brown 3-1 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guillermo Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferro Carril Oeste win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Guillermo Brown 31%, draw 33%, Ferro Carril Oeste 35%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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