Ferro Carril Oeste 1-2 Guillermo Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
55%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.8pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -23%
1.51/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.41
+9% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Guillermo Brown
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2022 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 HT 1-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
25.09.2021 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-0 HT 0-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
16.05.2021 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 3-1 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
17.07.2015 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 HT 1-1 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
07.03.2015 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 2-2 HT 1-1 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste
1-2
AWAY Guillermo Brown
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Ferro Carril Oeste vs Guillermo Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guillermo Brown nicked a narrow win over Ferro Carril Oeste 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ferro Carril Oeste at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ferro Carril Oeste had 58% of the ball to Guillermo Brown's 42%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ferro Carril Oeste and 1.20 for Guillermo Brown.

What was the final score of Ferro Carril Oeste vs Guillermo Brown?

Ferro Carril Oeste 1-2 Guillermo Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Guillermo Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferro Carril Oeste win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril Oeste 53%, draw 26%, Guillermo Brown 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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