Defensores Unidos 3-1 Gimnasia Mendoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.19
No
65%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.8pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.6pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.5pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 32%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -15%
1.21/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.93
+0% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores Unidos
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
10.06.2023 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
05.02.2023 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-1 HT 1-0 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensores Unidos
3-1
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Defensores Unidos vs Gimnasia Mendoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores Unidos saw off Gimnasia Mendoza 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Defensores Unidos as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Defensores Unidos had 58% of the ball to Gimnasia Mendoza's 42%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Defensores Unidos had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Defensores Unidos and 0.50 for Gimnasia Mendoza.

What was the final score of Defensores Unidos vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Defensores Unidos 3-1 Gimnasia Mendoza in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores Unidos vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensores Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Defensores Unidos 45%, draw 28%, Gimnasia Mendoza 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensores Unidos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Defensores Unidos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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