Almirante Brown 2-0 Club Atletico Mitre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
38%
2.83
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.4pp
38%
Draw
32%
+6.1pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.0pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Mitre EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.74/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.63
-34% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
240 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almirante Brown
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Club Atletico Mitre
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
21.08.2022 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 2-0 HT 2-0 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre ARJPBN
01.08.2021 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre ARJPBN
22.03.2021 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre 3-2 HT 2-1 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almirante Brown
2-0
AWAY Club Atletico Mitre
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Almirante Brown vs Club Atletico Mitre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almirante Brown beat Club Atletico Mitre 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 38% / 31%) promised a tight game; Almirante Brown found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Almirante Brown had 61% of the ball to Club Atletico Mitre's 39%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Almirante Brown and 1.00 for Club Atletico Mitre.

What was the final score of Almirante Brown vs Club Atletico Mitre?

Almirante Brown 2-0 Club Atletico Mitre in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almirante Brown vs Club Atletico Mitre?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Almirante Brown 31%, draw 38%, Club Atletico Mitre 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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