Club Atletico Guemes 2-2 Tristan Suarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.8pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
0.80/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.25
-35% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Guemes
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Tristan Suarez
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
23.08.2022 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 0-0 HT 0-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
01.08.2021 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 0-0 HT 0-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
20.03.2021 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 1-2 HT 0-2 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Atletico Guemes
2-2
AWAY Tristan Suarez
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Guemes vs Tristan Suarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Guemes and Tristan Suarez couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club Atletico Guemes had 53% of the ball to Tristan Suarez's 47%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Club Atletico Guemes had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Club Atletico Guemes and 0.33 for Tristan Suarez.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Guemes vs Tristan Suarez?

Club Atletico Guemes 2-2 Tristan Suarez in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Guemes vs Tristan Suarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atletico Guemes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Guemes 40%, draw 27%, Tristan Suarez 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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