Arsenal Sarandi 2-2 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.4pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.0pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
0.73/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.03
-29% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Sarandi
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Almagro
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
08.05.2005 Almagro Almagro 1-2 HT 1-2 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJ
24.10.2004 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 2-2 HT 2-1 Almagro Almagro ARJ
POST-MATCH Arsenal Sarandi vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Sarandi and Almagro shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arsenal Sarandi had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arsenal Sarandi and 1.50 for Almagro.

What was the final score of Arsenal Sarandi vs Almagro?

Arsenal Sarandi 2-2 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Sarandi vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Sarandi win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Sarandi 34%, draw 33%, Almagro 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal Sarandi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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