İmişli FK 0-1 Karabağ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
7.78
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
67%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
10%
+3.3pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.9pp
67%
Away Win
71%
-4.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İmişli FK EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabağ EU Bookmakers 75%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
0.25/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/0.62
-60% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +8%
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
202 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İmişli FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Karabağ
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
31.10.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 2-0 HT 0-0 İmişli FK İmişli FK AZERS
POST-MATCH İmişli FK vs Karabağ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ squeezed past İmişli FK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of İmişli FK vs Karabağ?

İmişli FK 0-1 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İmişli FK vs Karabağ?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split İmişli FK 14%, draw 20%, Karabağ 67%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
14 Feb 2026
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