14/02/2026
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Zira vs Karvan Evlakh Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
16%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
75%
13%
Draw
17%
11%
Away Win
9%
48%
Under 2.5
42%
52%
Over 2.5
58%
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
60%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zira v Karvan Evlakh — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Zira
EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY
Karvan Evlakh
EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% /
+7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-2% /
-2%
1.81/0.52
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.50/2.12
-14%
/
+34%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-33%
/
-9%
60%
Ball Possession
40%
15
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
434 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
173 · 64%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.8
Yellow Cards
–
Zira vs Karvan Evlakh Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Zira
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Karvan Evlakh
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Zira vs Karvan Evlakh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Zira squeezed past Karvan Evlakh 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Zira vs Karvan Evlakh?
Zira 1-0 Karvan Evlakh in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zira vs Karvan Evlakh?
Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Zira 77%, draw 13%, Karvan Evlakh 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Zira)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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AZERS
More Azerbaijan - Super League
14 Feb 2026