Zira 1-0 Karvan Evlakh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.27
Draw
13%
5.15
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
16%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
75%
+1.8pp
13%
Draw
17%
-3.7pp
11%
Away Win
9%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.2pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvan Evlakh EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.81/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.12
-14% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -9%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
434 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 173 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Karvan Evlakh
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
01.11.2025 Karvan Evlakh Karvan Evlakh 2-3 HT 1-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Karvan Evlakh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira squeezed past Karvan Evlakh 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Zira vs Karvan Evlakh?

Zira 1-0 Karvan Evlakh in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Karvan Evlakh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Zira 77%, draw 13%, Karvan Evlakh 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
14 Feb 2026
13:30 İmişli FK vs Karabağ Analysis →