Fujieda MYFC 2-0 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.11
2-3 Goals
35%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.51
6+ Goals
13%
14.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.51 — our 25% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 30%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
279 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fujieda MYFC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.10.2022 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 1-0 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
11.06.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-0 HT 1-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fujieda MYFC
2-0
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 5
265 Passes 147
72% Pass Accuracy 57%
21 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fujieda MYFC vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fujieda MYFC beat Matsumoto Yamaga 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fujieda MYFC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fujieda MYFC had 59% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 41%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fujieda MYFC and 1.00 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Fujieda MYFC vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Fujieda MYFC 2-0 Matsumoto Yamaga in the JAP2-3 on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fujieda MYFC vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fujieda MYFC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fujieda MYFC 46%, draw 24%, Matsumoto Yamaga 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fujieda MYFC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fujieda MYFC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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