Shonan Bellmare 4-0 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 14 Feb 2026

Shonan Bellmare
4-0 HT 1-0
Sagamihara
📅14/02/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
JAP2-3 – 2026

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagamihara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.02
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 30% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shonan Bellmare v Sagamihara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
314 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 176 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Shonan Bellmare 4-0 Sagamihara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
4-0
AWAY Sagamihara
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
284 Passes 177
74% Pass Accuracy 62%
28 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare swept aside Sagamihara 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shonan Bellmare as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 59% of the ball to Sagamihara's 41%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Sagamihara?

Shonan Bellmare 4-0 Sagamihara in the JAP2-3 on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 44%, draw 24%, Sagamihara 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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