Karşıyaka 3-1 Bergama Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.22
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
2%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
78%
-7.4pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.1pp
8%
Away Win
7%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karşıyaka EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 9%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.59/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.54
-40% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karşıyaka
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2025 Bergama Belediyespor Bergama Belediyespor 0-4 HT 0-3 Karşıyaka Karşıyaka S3-2
27.09.2023 Karşıyaka Karşıyaka 2-0 HT 0-0 Bergama Belediyespor Bergama Belediyespor TÜK
14.09.2022 Bergama Belediyespor Bergama Belediyespor 1-2 HT 0-2 Karşıyaka Karşıyaka TÜK
20.10.2020 Karşıyaka Karşıyaka 3-0 HT 1-0 Bergama Belediyespor Bergama Belediyespor TÜK
03.04.2019 Karşıyaka Karşıyaka 0-2 HT 0-1 Bergama Belediyespor Bergama Belediyespor S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karşıyaka
3-1
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karşıyaka vs Bergama Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karşıyaka got the better of Bergama Belediyespor 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Karşıyaka as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Karşıyaka had 53% of the ball to Bergama Belediyespor's 47%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Karşıyaka had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Karşıyaka and 0.60 for Bergama Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Karşıyaka vs Bergama Belediyespor?

Karşıyaka 3-1 Bergama Belediyespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karşıyaka vs Bergama Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karşıyaka win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Karşıyaka 70%, draw 22%, Bergama Belediyespor 8%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karşıyaka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karşıyaka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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