Denizli İY Güreller 1-0 Afyonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
77%
-9.8pp
21%
Draw
14%
+6.7pp
11%
Away Win
8%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denizli İY Güreller EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Afyonspor EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -29%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denizli İY Güreller
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Afyonspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.10.2025 Afyonspor Afyonspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Denizli İY Güreller S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Denizli İY Güreller
1-0
AWAY Afyonspor
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Denizli İY Güreller vs Afyonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denizli İY Güreller squeezed past Afyonspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Denizli İY Güreller as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Denizli İY Güreller had 64% of the ball to Afyonspor's 36%, shots finished 13-4.

What was the final score of Denizli İY Güreller vs Afyonspor?

Denizli İY Güreller 1-0 Afyonspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denizli İY Güreller vs Afyonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denizli İY Güreller win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Denizli İY Güreller 67%, draw 21%, Afyonspor 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denizli İY Güreller), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Denizli İY Güreller) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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