Denizli İY Güreller 1-0 Afyonspor Kulübü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.22
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
9%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
2%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
77%
-9.4pp
23%
Draw
14%
+8.7pp
9%
Away Win
8%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denizli İY Güreller EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Afyonspor Kulübü EU Bookmakers 11%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-60% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denizli İY Güreller
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Afyonspor Kulübü
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
12.10.2025 Afyonspor Kulübü Afyonspor Kulübü 1-2 HT 0-1 Denizli İY Güreller S3-4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Denizli İY Güreller
1-0
AWAY Afyonspor Kulübü
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Denizli İY Güreller vs Afyonspor Kulübü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denizli İY Güreller edged past Afyonspor Kulübü 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Denizli İY Güreller as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Denizli İY Güreller had 64% of the ball to Afyonspor Kulübü's 36%, shots finished 13-4.

What was the final score of Denizli İY Güreller vs Afyonspor Kulübü?

Denizli İY Güreller 1-0 Afyonspor Kulübü in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denizli İY Güreller vs Afyonspor Kulübü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denizli İY Güreller win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Denizli İY Güreller 68%, draw 23%, Afyonspor Kulübü 9%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denizli İY Güreller), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Denizli İY Güreller) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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