Aurora 4-1 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 14 Mar 2024

Aurora
4-1 HT 3-0
Nacional Potosi
📅14/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Aurora vs Nacional Potosi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.3pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aurora v Nacional Potosi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +10%
1.85/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.05
+3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 70%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
29.4 Crosses 17.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5

Aurora vs Nacional Potosi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.43 xG 0.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
238 Passes 304
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
22.07.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 0-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
20.02.2023 Aurora Aurora 2-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
10.09.2022 Aurora Aurora 1-5 HT 1-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
15.05.2022 Aurora Aurora 2-3 HT 2-2 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
02.04.2022 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-1 HT 0-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ

Aurora 4-1 Nacional Potosi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
4-1
AWAY Nacional Potosi
2.02 xG 1.48
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
242 Passes 265
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora cruised past Nacional Potosi 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aurora had 47% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 53%, shots finished 18-21, expected goals 2.02 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Potosi led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aurora and 1.83 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Nacional Potosi?

Aurora 4-1 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Aurora 46%, draw 28%, Nacional Potosi 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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