Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Velez Mostar v Siroki Brijeg — Team-Based Signals
Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Velez Mostar
BOSN
1-1
HT 0-1
Siroki Brijeg
BOSN
1-0
HT 0-0
Velez Mostar
BOSN
4-4
HT 3-0
Siroki Brijeg
BOSN
0-0
HT 0-0
Velez Mostar
BOSN
Velez Mostar 2-3 Siroki Brijeg — Actual Match Statistics
Siroki Brijeg squeezed past Velez Mostar 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Velez Mostar at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Velez Mostar had 64% of the ball to Siroki Brijeg's 36%, shots finished 21-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Siroki Brijeg led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Velez Mostar and 1.67 for Siroki Brijeg.
What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg?
Velez Mostar 2-3 Siroki Brijeg in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 46%, draw 29%, Siroki Brijeg 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.