Nova Iguaçu 0-2 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nova Iguaçu EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 40%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.16/0.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.34
+1% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
Crosses 22.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 4.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nova Iguaçu
0-2
AWAY Internacional
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 11
285 Passes 458
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
POST-MATCH Nova Iguaçu vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional saw off Nova Iguaçu 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nova Iguaçu at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nova Iguaçu had 39% of the ball to Internacional's 61%, shots finished 8-20.

What was the final score of Nova Iguaçu vs Internacional?

Nova Iguaçu 0-2 Internacional in the Brazil - Cup on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nova Iguaçu vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nova Iguaçu win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nova Iguaçu 43%, draw 24%, Internacional 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nova Iguaçu), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nova Iguaçu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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