Sport Recife 1-1 Murici — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Murici EU Bookmakers 28%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+35% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
35.0 Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Recife
1-1
AWAY Murici
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Sport Recife vs Murici
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Recife and Murici couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sport Recife at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sport Recife had 59% of the ball to Murici's 41%, shots finished 14-5.

What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Murici?

Sport Recife 1-1 Murici in the Brazil - Cup on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Murici?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 45%, draw 28%, Murici 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sport Recife) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sport Recife) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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