Itapirense 1-1 Bandeirante SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A3, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No Pick
62%
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
32%
4-5
23%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
28%
+8.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Itapirense The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandeirante SP The Market 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Itapirense
1-1
AWAY Bandeirante SP
46% Ball Possession 54%
23 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Itapirense vs Bandeirante SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Itapirense and Bandeirante SP couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Itapirense had 46% of the ball to Bandeirante SP's 54%, shots finished 23-8.

What was the final score of Itapirense vs Bandeirante SP?

Itapirense 1-1 Bandeirante SP in the Brazil - Paulista A3 on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Itapirense vs Bandeirante SP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bandeirante SP win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Itapirense 36%, draw 24%, Bandeirante SP 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bandeirante SP), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bandeirante SP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BRPL3 More Brazil - Paulista A3
14 Mar 2024
01:00 Lemense vs Sertaozinho Analysis →