Lemense 0-0 Sertaozinho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A3, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
48%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over Pick
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
45%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.5pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.5pp
48%
Away Win
41%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lemense The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sertaozinho The Market 45%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
0.50/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-75% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -73%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
340 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lemense
0-0
AWAY Sertaozinho
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Lemense vs Sertaozinho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lemense and Sertaozinho played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Sertaozinho at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lemense had 39% of the ball to Sertaozinho's 61%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Lemense vs Sertaozinho?

Lemense 0-0 Sertaozinho in the Brazil - Paulista A3 on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lemense vs Sertaozinho?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sertaozinho win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lemense 32%, draw 20%, Sertaozinho 48%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sertaozinho) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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