CD Real Sociedad 0-2 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
37%
3.28
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
38%
-7.8pp
37%
Draw
27%
+9.8pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.39/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.19
-1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Real Sociedad
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Olancho
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
5 Corners 9
29.01.2024 Olancho Olancho 0-1 HT 0-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
23.10.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
28.08.2023 Olancho Olancho 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
24.04.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
20.02.2023 Olancho Olancho 2-2 HT 1-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
20.10.2022 Olancho Olancho 7-0 HT 3-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH CD Real Sociedad vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho beat CD Real Sociedad 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 37% / 33%) promised a tight game; Olancho found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CD Real Sociedad and 2.00 for Olancho.

What was the final score of CD Real Sociedad vs Olancho?

CD Real Sociedad 0-2 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Real Sociedad vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CD Real Sociedad 31%, draw 37%, Olancho 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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