Cimarrones de Sonora 2-2 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
46%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.61
No
58%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.6pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.3pp
46%
Away Win
39%
+6.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.8pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cimarrones de Sonora EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 43%
+16% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.43/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.17
+13% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cimarrones de Sonora
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
25.10.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-2 HT 1-1 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
12.04.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 0-2 HT 0-0 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
13.07.2022 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 3-0 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
07.04.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-1 HT 0-0 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
03.11.2021 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 1-3 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
08.04.2021 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-2 HT 0-1 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
POST-MATCH Cimarrones de Sonora vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cimarrones de Sonora and Mineros de Zacatecas shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mineros de Zacatecas at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cimarrones de Sonora had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cimarrones de Sonora and 1.33 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of Cimarrones de Sonora vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Cimarrones de Sonora 2-2 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cimarrones de Sonora vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cimarrones de Sonora 35%, draw 19%, Mineros de Zacatecas 46%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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