Liverpool (K) 3-1 Manchester United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
51%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+6.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.9pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 58%
+70% / +70% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
3.02/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.19
-30% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +140%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
242 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 85%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
22.0 Crosses 21.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool (K)
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Manchester United (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 2.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
245 Passes 303
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
05.05.2024 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
28.09.2019 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool (K)
3-1
AWAY Manchester United (K)
1.29 xG 1.16
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
228 Passes 376
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 24
POST-MATCH Liverpool (K) vs Manchester United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool (K) saw off Manchester United (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester United (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liverpool (K) had 41% of the ball to Manchester United (K)'s 59%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 1.29 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Manchester United (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Liverpool (K) and 2.00 for Manchester United (K).

What was the final score of Liverpool (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Liverpool (K) 3-1 Manchester United (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Liverpool (K) 27%, draw 22%, Manchester United (K) 50%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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14 Mar 2025
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