St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Pauli v Hoffenheim — Team-Based Signals
St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
St. Pauli
AL1
0-1
HT 0-0
Hoffenheim
AL1
3-1
HT 1-1
Hoffenheim
AL2
1-1
HT 0-1
St. Pauli
AL2
St. Pauli 1-0 Hoffenheim — Actual Match Statistics
St. Pauli squeezed past Hoffenheim 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day St. Pauli made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, St. Pauli had 44% of the ball to Hoffenheim's 56%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 2.01 to 0.17 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold St. Pauli's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, St. Pauli had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for St. Pauli and 1.00 for Hoffenheim.
What was the final score of St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim?
St. Pauli 1-0 Hoffenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 39%, draw 27%, Hoffenheim 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pauli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.