Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hoffenheim v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals
Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
St. Pauli
AL1
0-1
HT 0-0
Hoffenheim
AL1
3-1
HT 1-1
Hoffenheim
AL2
1-1
HT 0-1
St. Pauli
AL2
Hoffenheim 0-2 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics
St. Pauli saw off Hoffenheim 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Hoffenheim at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hoffenheim had 68% of the ball to St. Pauli's 32%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.75 to 0.94.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Hoffenheim and 1.50 for St. Pauli.
What was the final score of Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli?
Hoffenheim 0-2 St. Pauli in the Germany - Bundesliga on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 43%, draw 24%, St. Pauli 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.