Wolfsburg 1-1 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 2 Nov 2024

Wolfsburg
1-1 HT 0-1
Augsburg
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Wolfsburg vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.19
6+ Goals
13%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.72
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
15%
4.68
X/2
10%
7.3
X/X
13%
4.98
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
12%
5.07
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolfsburg v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.54/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.76
-6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
20.1 Crosses 17.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Wolfsburg vs Augsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Augsburg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.65 xG 1.18
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
407 Passes 238
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-3 HT 1-1 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
28.10.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 3-2 HT 1-2 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
01.04.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-2 HT 0-2 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
08.10.2022 Augsburg Augsburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
03.04.2022 Augsburg Augsburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
06.11.2021 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1

Wolfsburg 1-1 Augsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg
1-1
AWAY Augsburg
1.24 xG 0.48
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
533 Passes 182
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 4
23 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg vs Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg and Augsburg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Wolfsburg at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Wolfsburg had 70% of the ball to Augsburg's 30%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.24 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Augsburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wolfsburg and 2.00 for Augsburg.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Augsburg?

Wolfsburg 1-1 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 44%, draw 28%, Augsburg 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wolfsburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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