Bayern Münih 3-0 Union Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.18
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.74
Over 2.5
54%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.39
2-3 Goals
39%
2.12
4-5 Goals
24%
2.52
6+ Goals
13%
5.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.29
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
31.0
X/1
16%
3.47
X/2
6%
31.5
X/X
8%
10.75
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
6%
23.6
2/X
7%
29.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
80%
-20.3pp
21%
Draw
13%
+7.6pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+12.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
33%
+13.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
67%
-13.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Berlin EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
2.77/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.91
+34% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +16%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
532 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
41.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
22.1 Crosses 12.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern Münih
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Union Berlin
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.42 xG 0.71
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
641 Passes 237
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
40 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Union Berlin Union Berlin 1-5 HT 0-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
24.01.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
26.02.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-0 HT 3-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
03.09.2022 Union Berlin Union Berlin 1-1 HT 1-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
19.03.2022 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 4-0 HT 3-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
30.10.2021 Union Berlin Union Berlin 2-5 HT 1-3 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern Münih
3-0
AWAY Union Berlin
2.51 xG 0.49
78% Ball Possession 22%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
796 Passes 170
92% Pass Accuracy 69%
36 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayern Münih vs Union Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih ran out comfortable winners over Union Berlin 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Bayern Münih had 78% of the ball to Union Berlin's 22%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.51 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Bayern Münih and 0.67 for Union Berlin.

What was the final score of Bayern Münih vs Union Berlin?

Bayern Münih 3-0 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern Münih vs Union Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 60%, draw 21%, Union Berlin 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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