Union Berlin vs Bayern Münih Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Berlin v Bayern Münih — Team-Based Signals
Union Berlin vs Bayern Münih Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 3-0
Union Berlin
AL1
1-1
HT 1-1
Bayern Münih
AL1
4-0
HT 3-0
Union Berlin
AL1
2-5
HT 1-3
Bayern Münih
AL1
1-1
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
AL1
Union Berlin 1-5 Bayern Münih — Actual Match Statistics
Bayern Münih cruised past Union Berlin 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Union Berlin had 36% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 64%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 1.45 to 1.43.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Union Berlin and 2.50 for Bayern Münih.
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Bayern Münih?
Union Berlin 1-5 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs Bayern Münih?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 26%, draw 24%, Bayern Münih 50%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.