Köln 0-2 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 20 Apr 2024

Köln
0-2 HT 0-0
Darmstadt 98
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Köln vs Darmstadt 98 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.75
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.7
X/1
17%
3.67
X/2
7%
13.4
X/X
10%
6.66
2/1
8%
21.1
2/2
9%
10.1
2/X
5%
18.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-12.3pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+8.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Köln v Darmstadt 98 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.77/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.88
-32% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +17%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
443 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
33.6 Crosses 14.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

Köln vs Darmstadt 98 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.38 xG 0.82
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
391 Passes 240
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.12.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-1 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL1
26.04.2019 Köln Köln 1-2 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
24.11.2018 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-3 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL2
28.01.2017 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-6 HT 0-3 Köln Köln AL1
27.08.2016 Köln Köln 2-0 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
23.04.2016 Köln Köln 4-1 HT 2-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1

Köln 0-2 Darmstadt 98 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln
0-2
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.04 xG 1.78
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
386 Passes 251
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
31 Box Touches 29
28 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Köln vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 beat Köln 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Köln at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Köln had 58% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 42%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.04 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Köln had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Köln and 0.67 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of Köln vs Darmstadt 98?

Köln 0-2 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Köln 53%, draw 24%, Darmstadt 98 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Köln), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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