Wolfsburg 1-0 Bochum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 20 Apr 2024

Wolfsburg
1-0 HT 1-0
Bochum
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Wolfsburg vs Bochum Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.57
6+ Goals
12%
14.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.63
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
12%
4.36
X/2
5%
7.48
X/X
10%
4.76
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
17%
5.6
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolfsburg v Bochum — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bochum EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.55/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.64
-13% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
21.0 Crosses 18.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Wolfsburg vs Bochum Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Bochum
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.98 xG 1.18
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 Passes 272
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Bochum Bochum 3-1 HT 2-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
22.04.2023 Bochum Bochum 1-5 HT 0-3 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
29.10.2022 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 4-0 HT 2-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
09.01.2022 Bochum Bochum 1-0 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
14.08.2021 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
18.07.2014 Bochum Bochum 3-1 HT 3-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg HAZ

Wolfsburg 1-0 Bochum — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg
1-0
AWAY Bochum
0.85 xG 1.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 8
239 Passes 290
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 32
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg vs Bochum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg nicked a narrow win over Bochum 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wolfsburg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Wolfsburg had 46% of the ball to Bochum's 54%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.85 to 1.30 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bochum.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wolfsburg and 1.33 for Bochum.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Bochum?

Wolfsburg 1-0 Bochum in the Germany - Bundesliga on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Bochum?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 45%, draw 27%, Bochum 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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