Central Coast Mariners (K) 3-3 Perth Glory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 14 Mar 2025

Central Coast Mariners (K)
3-3 HT 1-0
Perth Glory (K)
📅14/03/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners (K) v Perth Glory (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.96/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.37
+21% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
14.1 Crosses 14.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.68 xG 0.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
358 Passes 290
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 6
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.12.2024 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW
18.02.2024 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-3 HT 1-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW
31.12.2023 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW

Central Coast Mariners (K) 3-3 Perth Glory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
3-3
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
3.87 xG 1.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 3
266 Passes 195
71% Pass Accuracy 65%
24 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Perth Glory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) and Perth Glory (K) shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Central Coast Mariners (K) at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners (K) had 56% of the ball to Perth Glory (K)'s 44%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 3.87 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Central Coast Mariners (K) and 1.00 for Perth Glory (K).

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Central Coast Mariners (K) 3-3 Perth Glory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Coast Mariners (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners (K) 52%, draw 22%, Perth Glory (K) 26%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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