Perth Glory (K) 1-3 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
17%
3.64
Away
54%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.8pp
17%
Draw
24%
-6.5pp
54%
Away Win
52%
+2.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.9pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
321 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 7
31.12.2023 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory (K)
1-3
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
0.16 xG 1.79
53% Ball Possession 47%
3 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 3
379 Passes 316
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
1 Box Touches 29
6 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Perth Glory (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) beat Perth Glory (K) 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Central Coast Mariners (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Perth Glory (K) had 53% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners (K)'s 47%, shots finished 3-17, expected goals 0.16 to 1.79.

What was the final score of Perth Glory (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Perth Glory (K) 1-3 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central Coast Mariners (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory (K) 28%, draw 17%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
18 Feb 2024
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