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Melbourne City (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melbourne City (K) v Adelaide United (K) — Team-Based Signals
Melbourne City (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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1-0
HT 1-0
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Adelaide United (K)
AVUSTW
1-1
HT 0-0
Adelaide United (K)
AVUSTW
Melbourne City (K) 1-1 Adelaide United (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne City (K) and Adelaide United (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
This one beat our numbers. Melbourne City (K) carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Melbourne City (K) had 60% of the ball to Adelaide United (K)'s 40%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.33 to 0.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Melbourne City (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Melbourne City (K) and 0.33 for Adelaide United (K).
What was the final score of Melbourne City (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?
Melbourne City (K) 1-1 Adelaide United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melbourne City (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City (K) 56%, draw 18%, Adelaide United (K) 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.