Alajuelense 1-1 Pumas UNAM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.42
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.36
6+ Goals
13%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.06/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.80
-3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
44.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
38.0 Crosses 17.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pumas UNAM
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.08 xG 0.38
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
322 Passes 478
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 7
12 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.03.2025 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 2-0 HT 1-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
1-1
AWAY Pumas UNAM
0.46 xG 0.48
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
403 Passes 258
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
6 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Pumas UNAM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense and Pumas UNAM shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Alajuelense at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Alajuelense had 61% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 39%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.46 to 0.48.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Pumas UNAM?

Alajuelense 1-1 Pumas UNAM in the CONCACAF Champions League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Pumas UNAM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 44%, draw 27%, Pumas UNAM 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alajuelense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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