Pumas UNAM 2-0 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.1pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.7pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 16%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.18/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.57
+68% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +11%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 70%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
41.0 Crosses 11.7
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pumas UNAM
2-0
AWAY Alajuelense
0.38 xG 0.08
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
478 Passes 322
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pumas UNAM vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pumas UNAM saw off Alajuelense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pumas UNAM as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Pumas UNAM had 57% of the ball to Alajuelense's 43%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.38 to 0.08.

What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Alajuelense?

Pumas UNAM 2-0 Alajuelense in the CONCACAF Champions League on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 57%, draw 26%, Alajuelense 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pumas UNAM), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pumas UNAM) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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