Los Angeles FC 3-0 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒06:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.91
6+ Goals
8%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 31% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.0pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 30%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.44/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.78
+115% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
10.0 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.42 xG 1.24
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
289 Passes 413
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC CONLK
14.07.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-5 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
10.12.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 2-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
22.05.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-2 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
12.05.2019 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-3 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
24.06.2018 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles FC
3-0
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.87 xG 0.57
32% Ball Possession 68%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
258 Passes 599
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
24 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Los Angeles FC vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC swept aside Columbus Crew 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Los Angeles FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Los Angeles FC had 32% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 68%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.87 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Los Angeles FC and 1.67 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs Columbus Crew?

Los Angeles FC 3-0 Columbus Crew in the CONCACAF Champions League on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 40%, draw 32%, Columbus Crew 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CON More CONCACAF Champions League
5 Mar 2025
00:00 FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL Analysis →
04:30 Pumas UNAM vs Alajuelense Analysis →