Columbus Crew 3-1 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.81
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
15%
4.89
X/2
9%
6.95
X/X
9%
5.31
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
14%
4.59
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.0 — our 10% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 33%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
3.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+91% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +120% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
Crosses 1.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.25 xG 1.58
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
414 Passes 305
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.07.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-5 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
10.12.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 2-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
22.05.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-2 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
12.05.2019 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-3 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
24.06.2018 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
3-1
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.20 xG 0.62
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
411 Passes 209
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew beat Los Angeles FC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 62% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 38%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.20 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.80 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Los Angeles FC?

Columbus Crew 3-1 Los Angeles FC in the Concacaf League Cup on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 43%, draw 23%, Los Angeles FC 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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