Los Angeles FC 1-5 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.83
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
30%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.57
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
13%
4.73
X/2
9%
7.55
X/X
10%
5.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.45
2/2
11%
4.91
2/X
7%
13.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-1.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.6pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +22%
1.93/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.45
+12% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
17.5 Crosses 16.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles FC
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Columbus Crew
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.64 xG 1.02
44% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
310 Passes 385
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 2-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
22.05.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-2 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
12.05.2019 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-3 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
24.06.2018 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles FC
1-5
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.34 xG 2.13
37% Ball Possession 63%
17 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
288 Passes 528
84% Pass Accuracy 90%
26 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Los Angeles FC vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew cruised past Los Angeles FC 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Los Angeles FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Los Angeles FC had 37% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 63%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 1.34 to 2.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Los Angeles FC and 0.50 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs Columbus Crew?

Los Angeles FC 1-5 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 48%, draw 26%, Columbus Crew 26%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Los Angeles FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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