FC Cincinnati 1-1 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 5 Mar 2025

FC Cincinnati
1-1
Tigres UANL
📅05/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
CONCACAF Champions League – 2025

FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 32% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Cincinnati v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 34%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.18
-100% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

FC Cincinnati 1-1 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
1-1
AWAY Tigres UANL
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
401 Passes 463
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati and Tigres UANL shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was FC Cincinnati at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 46% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 54%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL?

FC Cincinnati 1-1 Tigres UANL in the CONCACAF Champions League on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 41%, draw 30%, Tigres UANL 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Cincinnati), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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