Baroka 0-2 Ajax Cape Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
47%
+6.6pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.0pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baroka EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax Cape Town EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -19%
1.93/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.06
+65% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
295 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baroka
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Ajax Cape Town
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
1.51 xG 2.10
42% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
184 Passes 359
57% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 19
38 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Baroka Baroka GAF1
14.03.2023 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town 3-2 HT 1-1 Baroka Baroka GAF1
01.03.2023 Baroka Baroka 2-3 HT 1-2 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town GAF1
10.02.2023 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Baroka Baroka GAF8K
08.02.2021 Baroka Baroka 1-1 HT 1-0 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town GAF8K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baroka
0-2
AWAY Ajax Cape Town
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Baroka vs Ajax Cape Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax Cape Town saw off Baroka 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Baroka at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Baroka had 56% of the ball to Ajax Cape Town's 44%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ajax Cape Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Baroka and 2.20 for Ajax Cape Town.

What was the final score of Baroka vs Ajax Cape Town?

Baroka 0-2 Ajax Cape Town in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baroka vs Ajax Cape Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baroka win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Baroka 54%, draw 24%, Ajax Cape Town 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Baroka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baroka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAF1 More South Afrika - 1st Division
14 Mar 2025
16:30 Highbury vs Pretoria Callies Analysis →