Al Quwa Al Jawiya 0-1 Al Karkh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 14 Mar 2025

Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0-1 HT 0-1
Al Karkh
📅14/03/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
2.51
No
71%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-8.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+2.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.4pp
29%
BTTS Yes
36%
-6.6pp
71%
BTTS No
64%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya v Al Karkh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 16%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +70% / +70%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-47% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karkh edged past Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Quwa Al Jawiya at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (71%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh?

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 0-1 Al Karkh in the Iraq - Premier League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Quwa Al Jawiya 55%, draw 29%, Al Karkh 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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