Al Talaba 3-1 Newroz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.52
Over 2.5
48%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Talaba EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Newroz EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Talaba
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Newroz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.02.2024 Newroz 1-2 Al Talaba Al Talaba IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Talaba vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Talaba beat Newroz 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Al Talaba made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Al Talaba vs Newroz?

Al Talaba 3-1 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Talaba vs Newroz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Talaba win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Talaba 38%, draw 28%, Newroz 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Talaba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Talaba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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