14/03/2025
·
23:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Al Talaba vs Newroz Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
28%
Draw
29%
34%
Away Win
26%
52%
Under 2.5
62%
48%
Over 2.5
38%
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
53%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Talaba v Newroz — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Talaba
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Newroz
EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+6% /
+6%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+150%
/
-12%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
277 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
346 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Al Talaba vs Newroz Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Talaba
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Newroz
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Al Talaba vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Talaba beat Newroz 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Al Talaba made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
What was the final score of Al Talaba vs Newroz?
Al Talaba 3-1 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Talaba vs Newroz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Talaba win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Talaba 38%, draw 28%, Newroz 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Talaba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Talaba)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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14 Mar 2025