Flamengo U20 1-0 Danubio U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores U20, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
31%
4.49
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
69%
-15.3pp
31%
Draw
19%
+11.8pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo U20 EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio U20 EU Bookmakers 15%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-70% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
385 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.9 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo U20
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Danubio U20
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.82 xG 0.31
81% Ball Possession 19%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
626 Passes 65
91% Pass Accuracy 41%
25 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.03.2025 Danubio U20 Danubio U20 1-3 HT 0-0 Flamengo U20 Flamengo U20 LIBER20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo U20
1-0
AWAY Danubio U20
1.71 xG 1.10
75% Ball Possession 25%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
539 Passes 95
85% Pass Accuracy 46%
19 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 14
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Flamengo U20 vs Danubio U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo U20 nicked a narrow win over Danubio U20 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Flamengo U20 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Flamengo U20 had 75% of the ball to Danubio U20's 25%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.71 to 1.10.

What was the final score of Flamengo U20 vs Danubio U20?

Flamengo U20 1-0 Danubio U20 in the Copa Libertadores U20 on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo U20 vs Danubio U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Flamengo U20 53%, draw 31%, Danubio U20 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo U20) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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